Bottom Line
MARA — overbought internal readings have historically been a timing signal rather than a trend-reversal one. Trends often resume after a consolidation phase. Strikes set below the pre-rally base (200-day average ~$13) provide a wider buffer than strikes set just below current price.
▸Show technical breakdown
MARA Holdings, Inc. ranks at the bottom of today's Technology screening at 1.0/10. At $11.64, price is 12.1% below the 200-day average, with no meaningful structural support in the composite read.
Normal 20-day ATR range on MARA (beta 5.30) meets a bearish regime. Premium levels are workable; the context around them is not, as stocks below their 200-day average have historically shown a tendency to continue lower before stabilizing.
MARA shows stable momentum at $11.64 (12.1% below the 200-day average) — neither acceleration nor deceleration stands out in the current data. A recent Bearish Engulfing pattern adds one additional near-term reference point. The tape is in a continuation phase.
Earnings on MARA are 10 days away (2026-05-07). The IV build-in typically begins in the sessions ahead. DTE selection that closes before the report avoids the binary event without forfeiting time-decay in the interim.
Position Size & Yield Calculator
Cash-secured puts require holding cash equal to strike × 100 shares as collateral. Strike defaults to ~5% OTM, snapped to typical exchange increments. Premium defaults to ~2% of strike — adjust to your real expected fill. Annualized ROC = (premium ÷ collateral) × (365 ÷ DTE). CSP risk is single-name concentration: experienced put-sellers typically diversify across 4–6 underlyings rather than committing the whole account to one ticker. Continuous-rolling projections assume capital can be re-deployed after each expiration and that comparable premiums remain available — actual results vary with market conditions, assignments, and rolls.