IBIT — Put-Selling Research

by ThetaLoop Research
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iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
Financial · $44.02
1.0
/10
Poor Entry
Put-selling entry timing — not a stock rating.A strong long-term holding can still show a low score today (thin premium, extended trend, or turning momentum).
How this score works → Try the calculator ↓
Regime
Bearish
vs SMA200
SMA200 Distance
-18.3%
Below trend
Volatility
Low
Thin premiums
Momentum
Positive
Price direction
About iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
IBIT is the largest spot-Bitcoin ETF by AUM (BlackRock product launched 2024). Highest-IV liquid ETF in this universe, with an ultra-deep options chain since penny-pilot inclusion in early 2025. The cleanest crypto-exposure CSP vehicle without the idiosyncratic risk of holding miner equities. Beta to the crypto cycle, near-zero correlation to US Treasuries.
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
Beta
Forward P/E
52-Week Range Current: $44.02
$35.3 $71.82

Bottom Line

IBIT — the 20-day ATR range is in the subdued band, which compresses both premium and the tolerance for adverse moves. Sizing discipline does more of the work than strike placement in this configuration.

Show technical breakdown

At 1.0/10, iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF sits in the lowest band of our Financial research. Price holds 18.3% below the 200-day line at $44.02; the composite flags the setup across multiple dimensions rather than one isolated factor.

IBIT trades with low realized volatility in a bear regime — the combination that has historically offered the weakest premium-to-risk profile for CSP structures. Premium compression meets directional headwind.

Momentum on IBIT sits in a stable range at $44.02. Price holds 18.3% below the 200-day line; rate-of-change measures are neither accelerating nor fading. No significant candle patterns have registered recently.

Technical indicators place IBIT in overbought territory. Mean-reversion toward the 200-day average (~$54) is a normal feature of price action, even in strong uptrends. Overbought conditions can persist, but strike distance below recent support provides buffer that strike distance right at current price does not.

Based on end-of-day market data · Scored by ThetaLoop Research · AI use
IBIT ranks #9 of 68 Financial tickers by put-selling score (619 total screened)

Position Size & Yield Calculator

Live model for IBIT — drag any slider to recalculate. Strike defaults to ~5% OTM, snapped to typical exchange increments.
$
$
$
days
0
contracts you can write
Capital per Contract0%
$0
Premium Income
$0
per contract
Per-Day Theta
$0.00
if held to expiration
Annualized ROC
0.0%
return on collateral
📈At this pace: $0/year per contract if you roll continuously every 30 days

Cash-secured puts require holding cash equal to strike × 100 shares as collateral. Strike defaults to ~5% OTM, snapped to typical exchange increments. Premium defaults to ~2% of strike — adjust to your real expected fill. Annualized ROC = (premium ÷ collateral) × (365 ÷ DTE). CSP risk is single-name concentration: experienced put-sellers typically diversify across 4–6 underlyings rather than committing the whole account to one ticker. Continuous-rolling projections assume capital can be re-deployed after each expiration and that comparable premiums remain available — actual results vary with market conditions, assignments, and rolls.

This page is the research tool — you search any ticker, get the score, configure your own setup. The daily research picks today's actual setup with strike, expiry, and exit rules and delivers it via Telegram. See a sample · how the pipeline works
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📌 Embed this score on your blog
The IBIT X-Ray score updates daily after market close. Embed it on any site, blog, or trading journal — completely free, no API key needed. The visible attribution line below the widget links back to ThetaLoop and helps the project grow.
<iframe src="https://thetaloop.app/widget/xray/IBIT" width="400" height="460" frameborder="0" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="text-align:center;font-size:11px;margin-top:6px;font-family:sans-serif"><a href="https://thetaloop.app/xray/IBIT">IBIT X-Ray Score</a> by ThetaLoop</p>
Live preview: Open widget in new tab →
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